Bear Call Spread – MU
📉 All-time-high breakout on extreme overbought conditions. Opened November 3.
Micron Technology (MU) gapped open Monday morning and immediately surged to all-time highs, printing $237.62 just minutes into the session. The stock now sits at historically overbought levels across daily and weekly timeframes — RSI readings deeply elevated, MACD momentum showing green expansion but coming off prior exhaustion signals. The setup: a parabolic move into uncharted territory without consolidation, testing whether buyers can sustain vertical pressure or if exhaustion triggers mean reversion before Friday’s expiration.
Setup Selection
MU’s recent rally reflects broad semiconductor strength and momentum in memory chip names. The daily chart shows aggressive extension through late October into Monday’s all-time-high breakout — RSI deeply overbought, MACD histogram showing green expansion but following prior fatigue signals visible on weekly timeframe.
Monday’s opening session delivered explosive continuation: gap up followed by immediate surge to new ATH levels. This type of parabolic move into uncharted territory without consolidation typically precedes either sideways digestion or mean reversion.
My entry logic: No single bearish reversal pattern triggered this trade. The confluence that mattered: all-time-high breakout on extreme overbought conditions, vertical price action without rest, and opening-bell euphoria. This isn’t a bet on collapse — it’s a fade of continued vertical acceleration through Friday. The 10-delta positioning reflects high probability that MU consolidates, pulls back to digest gains, or simply fails to extend materially higher by expiration.
Why Bear Call Spread?
Defined risk with capped downside exposure
Multi-timeframe RSI exhaustion + ATH breakout rarely sustains without consolidation
Parabolic moves into uncharted territory typically invite profit-taking
Profits from stagnation, consolidation, or decline — doesn’t require crash
10-delta positioning provides ~90% probability buffer
The setup doesn’t demand MU collapses — only that it fails to push through $270 by Friday’s expiration.
Trade Structure
Expiration: November 7, 2025 (Friday)
Short Call: $270 (10-delta)
Long Call: $275
Contracts: 22
Credit Received: $0.21 per contract
Maximum Profit: $462 (net before fees)
Broker Fee: $30.79
👉 View on OptionStrat
👉 View in Trade Log
Entry and Exit Plan
The position was opened Monday, November 3, approximately 7-8 minutes after market open. The short strike at $270 sits ~15% above current price — a buffer designed to absorb continued strength while maintaining ~90% probability of expiring worthless.
This isn’t a directional bet on collapse. It’s a fade of vertical continuation. The trade profits from consolidation, sideways action, or modest pullback — anything except sustained acceleration through $270 by Friday.
The plan is simple: hold through expiration and collect full premium. No early exits. Time decay does the work.
If MU threatens the short strike with expanding momentum and volume, the position will be managed based on price action and sector behavior. But the setup is structured around that scenario being unlikely.
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Disclaimer
All content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.Any trades or strategies should be tested in a simulated environment before use.Trading involves risk, and all decisions are the sole responsibility of the reader.
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